Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 882.588185 1005.436182 1145.595379 1318.733063 1528.797311 1777.933821 2.099597e+03
2024-10-20 689.238487 839.920696 1028.704069 1287.654879 1641.940084 2122.819948 2.849439e+03
2024-10-27 580.157700 734.726888 939.234983 1238.183074 1679.686769 2335.768752 3.445476e+03
2024-11-03 533.376077 699.020541 929.251452 1286.338535 1854.048634 2778.168032 4.540482e+03
2024-11-10 491.850356 662.591132 909.619522 1312.209221 1994.301512 3199.332635 5.774676e+03
2024-11-17 454.935972 627.042316 884.580090 1322.531270 2107.401773 3601.905587 7.167087e+03
2024-11-24 418.364301 587.300610 847.077029 1304.584597 2164.285076 3911.704405 8.521520e+03
2024-12-01 396.673472 567.582268 838.021515 1332.477504 2311.003818 4452.008923 1.081737e+04
2024-12-08 381.964572 556.969590 841.924975 1383.152150 2513.665137 5191.964677 1.432370e+04
2024-12-15 364.474329 539.959908 832.690202 1407.195128 2665.606642 5870.863261 1.835148e+04
2024-12-22 344.259747 516.540027 809.589437 1400.356540 2746.785117 6397.024743 2.244391e+04
2024-12-29 331.380495 504.263539 804.804022 1429.303181 2919.159054 7268.855527 2.956289e+04
2025-01-05 308.355294 473.536240 764.796678 1382.253795 2901.296857 7569.563557 3.435778e+04
2025-01-12 289.000878 447.922165 732.204645 1347.328690 2909.631762 7979.488450 4.100188e+04
2025-01-19 269.538218 420.697659 694.084699 1295.039779 2859.815397 8163.299241 4.659739e+04
2025-01-26 263.798269 417.483814 701.574834 1346.160330 3112.074243 9671.121830 7.029512e+04
2025-02-02 255.843771 409.589253 699.033818 1373.666904 3305.217817 11097.226280 1.031165e+05
2025-02-09 246.824086 399.047861 690.149256 1384.641579 3451.999977 12446.740125 1.489145e+05
2025-02-16 235.657766 383.742541 670.206810 1365.559943 3497.131990 13332.304816 1.985031e+05
2025-02-23 229.763913 378.006852 669.554531 1395.219357 3718.052929 15439.397942 3.361659e+05
2025-03-02 226.238373 376.532021 677.691556 1449.136739 4046.786063 18673.290758 7.178133e+05
2025-03-09 220.557353 370.460758 675.357296 1474.733079 4281.338486 21654.809274 1.557453e+06
2025-03-16 212.741138 359.693713 661.823428 1467.451704 4384.853235 23807.620774 3.163710e+06